The latest polls have the Conservatives at 37 and the Liberals at 31 in the national popular vote. (This site shows results from Ipsos, Nanos, Harris-Decima and Ekos, and updates them throughout the day).
There are sorry indicators, for sure. Dion is lagging badly in polls about who would be the best prime minister. Quebec may swing Conservative, giving Harper a ton of seats. Some key Ontario swing ridings seem to be heading Conservative.
But it's not true, as you might believe from some commentary, that the Liberals are dying. The Toronto Star's James Travers was over the edge when he said that nervous Liberals are gazing into the abyss. The Globe also over-did the doom and gloom with a recent article that reported polls on the leaders as if they were polls on the parties, giving the impression that the NDP was ahead of the Liberals.
There are also some hints that the wind is changing slightly. Dion is now campaigning with Bob Rae - an excellent idea, not unlike Palin propping up McCain south of the border. The Tory momentum has petered out somewhat, according to an article in the Globe today. 905 is standing solid against them.
I'm starting to feel that we may keep Harper from getting his majority. This is no time for pessimism. We may have a leader who is stumbling a bit on the campaign trail, but that's not the whole story.
I'm writing this, in part, to re-energize myself and get myself out of the gloom of the first week of the campaign. Nothing defeats like defeatism. And the last week of the campaign is more important than the first.